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Patrick Kypson v Jack Pinnington Jones
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Patrick Kypson (Local)
assuming max odds 1.45
Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Patrick Kypson (Local): 69.32%; Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit): 30.68%. For Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.89%E -7.61%K -32.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +7.39%E +2.11%K +2.96%G +0.218% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.19%E -7.02%K -29.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.25%E +0.380%K +0.545%G +0.007% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.89%E -7.61%K -32.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.81%E -0.567%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.89%E -7.61%K -32.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.81%E -0.567%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -6.11%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -10.10%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -10.10%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 10:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.02%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 10:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.63%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 10:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV +0.510%E +0.352%K +1.13%G +0.006% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -17.16%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.16%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.16%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-04 11:05 |