The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Martin Landaluce v Christopher O'Connell

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Prediction 81.15%1.23fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -13.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%81.41%81.37%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.2089.29%87.46%87.72%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Christopher O'Connell (Visit)

Prediction 18.85%5.30fair odd
EV +13.12%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.62%
Growth +0.344%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%18.59%18.63%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.135.156.0022.22%19.51%19.42%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Landaluce (Local): 81.15%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 18.85%. For Christopher O'Connell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.12%E -8.14%K -75.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +13.12%E +2.19%K +2.62%G +0.344%6.0%2026-05-04 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.02%E -0.194%K -0.239%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 13:55
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.02%E -0.194%K -0.239%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.37%EV -2.62%E -2.19%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.63%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-04 13:45
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -9.12%E -8.14%K -75.97%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -2.90%E -0.563%K -0.699%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 13:55
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -9.12%E -8.14%K -75.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -9.12%E -8.14%K -75.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.44%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.16%E -3.37%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-05-04 13:55