The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Martin Landaluce v Andrea Pellegrino

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Prediction 58.86%1.70fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%58.85%58.92%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.591.591.6564.52%62.80%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andrea Pellegrino (Visit)

Prediction 41.14%2.43fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -0.905%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.15%41.08%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.252.4045.45%43.89%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Landaluce (Local): 58.86%; Andrea Pellegrino (Visit): 41.14%. For Andrea Pellegrino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.88%E -1.74%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.27%E -0.528%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-05 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.47%E -2.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.06%E -2.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 13:50
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.64%E -2.87%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.97%E -2.15%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.23%E -3.25%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.74%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 13:49
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 13:50
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.82%E -3.64%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.41%E -4.03%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.26%E -3.70%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 13:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.00%E -4.43%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.26%E -3.70%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 13:50
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.59%E -4.83%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -8.18%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.05%EV -7.85%E -3.50%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.18%E -5.24%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 13:55
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.76%E -5.65%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-05 13:50
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-05 13:55
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-05-05 13:55