赔率学院

Marin Cilic v Valentin Vacherot

开赛时间: 2026-05-08 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Marin Cilic (主队)

预测 35.97%2.78公平赔率
EV -1.09%
优势 -0.397%
Kelly -0.624%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.52%35.87%36.04%37.17%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.402.612.612.7541.67%38.26%38.31%36.36%MIN均值中位数MAX

Valentin Vacherot (客队)

预测 64.03%1.56公平赔率
EV -3.95%
优势 -2.63%
Kelly -7.90%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
62.83%64.13%63.96%65.48%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.421.461.471.5070.42%68.32%68.03%66.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.09%E -0.397%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 14:04
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.09%E -0.397%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:20
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.17%E -0.798%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 14:05
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.51%E -4.46%K -14.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 15:45
SportsBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:00
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 15:50
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:15
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:15
Fliff2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.43%E -5.90%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 15:50
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 14:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 14:00
DraftKings2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -6.13%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 14:05
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -6.13%E -2.35%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 14:05
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 15:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.59%E -3.08%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:05
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 13:59
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 14:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.95%E -2.63%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:40
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:05
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.51%E -4.46%K -14.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 14:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -8.43%E -5.90%K -19.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-07 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 14:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 36.76%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.24%10.6%2026-05-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 39.81%1.27I 78.74%NM 60.19%30.8%2026-05-07 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 39.81%1.27I 78.74%NM 60.19%30.8%2026-05-07 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 39.81%1.27I 78.74%NM 60.19%30.8%2026-05-07 14:15
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 40.73%1.23I 81.30%NM 59.27%37.2%2026-05-07 15:05