StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner v Sebastian Ofner

Matchstart: 2026-05-09 17:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jannik Sinner (Hemma)

Prognos 94.92%1.05rättvist odds
EV -3.18%
Fördel -3.12%
Kelly -159.09%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
91.59%94.88%94.89%97.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.81%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Ofner (Borta)

Prognos 5.08%19.68rättvist odds
EV +82.89%
Fördel +2.30%
Kelly +2.37%
Tillväxt +1.96%

med antagandet om högsta odds 36.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
2.70%5.12%5.11%8.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
11.0018.5817.0036.009.09%5.38%5.88%2.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jannik Sinner (Hemma): 94.92%; Sebastian Ofner (Borta): 5.08%. För Sebastian Ofner (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 19.68. 16 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 36.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +82.89%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:50
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:48
Pinnacle🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.13%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%34.14I 2.93%NM 2.87%EV +73.44%E +2.15%K +2.22%G +1.63%1.9%2026-05-09 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +57.49%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +1.10%2.2%2026-05-09 16:29
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.09%E +1.23%K +1.28%G +0.412%2.9%2026-05-09 05:04
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.01%E +1.08%K +1.13%G +0.304%3.0%2026-05-09 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.01%E +1.08%K +1.13%G +0.304%3.0%2026-05-08 20:44
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +16.85%E +0.732%K +0.766%G +0.129%3.4%2026-05-09 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +11.77%E +0.535%K +0.560%G +0.066%3.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +11.77%E +0.535%K +0.560%G +0.066%3.6%2026-05-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%2.8%2026-05-08 05:20
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%3.8%2026-05-09 16:29
PlayUp🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%3.8%2026-05-09 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%3.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.47%E -0.183%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 13:35
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.47%E -0.183%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.47%E -0.183%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -6.01%E -0.325%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -6.01%E -0.325%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV -11.60%E -0.667%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 16:54
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:04
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 14:00
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:19
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:19
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.72%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 01:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.72%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 05:34
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 14:04
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 13:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:48
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -27.61%E -1.94%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 01:10
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -44.12%E -4.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.02I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:54
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-09 16:55
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 97.22%35.71I 2.80%NM 2.78%0.8%2026-05-09 11:49