A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Sebastian Ofner

Início: 2026-05-09 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 94.92%1.05odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -3.12%
Kelly -159.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.59%94.88%94.89%97.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.81%99.01%98.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sebastian Ofner (Visitante)

Previsão 5.08%19.68odd justa
EV +82.89%
Vantagem +2.30%
Kelly +2.37%
Crescimento +1.96%

pressupondo odds máximas de 36.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.70%5.12%5.11%8.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0018.5817.0036.009.09%5.38%5.88%2.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:49
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:49
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:50
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -5.08%E -5.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +82.89%E +2.30%K +2.37%G +1.96%2.8%2026-05-09 10:48
Pinnacle1.01I 99.01%NM 97.13%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%34.14I 2.93%NM 2.87%EV +73.44%E +2.15%K +2.22%G +1.63%1.9%2026-05-09 14:35
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +57.49%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +1.10%2.2%2026-05-09 16:29
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +32.09%E +1.23%K +1.28%G +0.412%2.9%2026-05-09 05:04
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.01%E +1.08%K +1.13%G +0.304%3.0%2026-05-09 16:34
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +27.01%E +1.08%K +1.13%G +0.304%3.0%2026-05-08 20:44
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +16.85%E +0.732%K +0.766%G +0.129%3.4%2026-05-09 14:29
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +11.77%E +0.535%K +0.560%G +0.066%3.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +11.77%E +0.535%K +0.560%G +0.066%3.6%2026-05-09 13:35
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%2.8%2026-05-08 05:20
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%3.8%2026-05-09 16:29
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%3.8%2026-05-09 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +6.69%E +0.318%K +0.334%G +0.022%3.8%2026-05-09 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.47%E -0.183%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 13:35
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.47%E -0.183%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -3.47%E -0.183%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 14:00
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -6.01%E -0.325%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -6.01%E -0.325%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.51%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.40I 5.75%NM 5.49%EV -11.60%E -0.667%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 16:54
ReBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:04
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 14:00
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:49
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:19
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.64%E -0.802%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 13:19
Bet Right1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.72%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.72%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:24
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 05:34
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 14:04
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 13:44
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.80%E -1.59%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:48
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -27.61%E -1.94%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 01:10
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Casumo1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
ATG (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:25
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.18%E -3.12%K -159.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:29
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:15
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -33.96%E -2.61%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:15
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.13%E -4.09%K -413.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -44.12%E -4.01%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.02I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-09 16:54
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-09 16:55
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 97.22%35.71I 2.80%NM 2.78%0.8%2026-05-09 11:49