The School of Odds

Jannik Sinner v Andrea Pellegrino

Matchstart: 2026-05-12 13:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Hemma)

Prognos 95.91%1.04rättvist odds
EV -2.17%
Fördel -2.12%
Kelly -108.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
91.59%95.77%96.12%97.62%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.35%99.01%98.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Andrea Pellegrino (Borta)

Prognos 4.09%24.48rättvist odds
EV +67.50%
Fördel +1.65%
Kelly +1.69%
Tillväxt +1.14%

med antagandet om högsta odds 41.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
2.38%4.23%3.88%8.41%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
11.0025.6221.0041.009.09%3.90%4.76%2.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 13:00
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:58
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 13:00
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:58
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:58
Pinnacle1.01I 99.01%NM 97.51%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%39.62I 2.52%NM 2.49%EV +61.86%E +1.56%K +1.60%G +0.991%1.5%2026-05-12 13:00
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +38.90%E +1.14%K +1.18%G +0.459%2.0%2026-05-12 12:52
theScore Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +38.90%E +1.14%K +1.18%G +0.459%2.9%2026-05-12 13:00
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%2.9%2026-05-12 12:59
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%2.9%2026-05-12 12:59
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%3.8%2026-05-12 12:59
SportsBet1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%3.8%2026-05-12 12:53
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +2.13%E +0.085%K +0.089%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-12 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +2.13%E +0.085%K +0.089%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-12 13:00
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +2.13%E +0.085%K +0.089%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-12 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.17%E -2.12%K -108.35%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-12 12:59
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.17%E -2.12%K -108.35%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-12 13:00
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 12:59
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 95.37%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%20.60I 4.85%NM 4.63%EV -15.84%E -0.769%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 12:59
BetAnything1.02I 98.04%NM 95.14%EV -2.17%E -2.12%K -108.35%G +0.000%19.95I 5.01%NM 4.86%EV -18.50%E -0.927%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 12:59
NordicBet1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -22.38%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 12:59
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -22.38%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 13:00
ReBet1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -22.38%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 12:59
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -26.75%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -26.75%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 13:00
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 94.67%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.33%EV -27.49%E -1.55%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 12:51
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -32.59%E -1.98%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -34.63%E -2.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 12:57
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -38.72%E -2.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 12:59
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -38.72%E -2.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 12:57
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -41.78%E -2.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 12:59
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -55.06%E -5.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 12:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-12 12:59
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-12 13:00
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 97.32%37.04I 2.70%NM 2.68%0.7%2026-05-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%0.8%2026-05-12 13:00
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%35.97I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.8%2026-05-12 13:00