A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Andrea Pellegrino

Início: 2026-05-12 13:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 95.91%1.04odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -2.12%
Kelly -108.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.59%95.77%96.12%97.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.35%99.01%98.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Andrea Pellegrino (Visitante)

Previsão 4.09%24.48odd justa
EV +67.50%
Vantagem +1.65%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescimento +1.14%

pressupondo odds máximas de 41.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.38%4.23%3.88%8.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0025.6221.0041.009.09%3.90%4.76%2.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 13:00
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:58
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 13:00
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:58
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +67.50%E +1.65%K +1.69%G +1.14%2.4%2026-05-12 12:58
Pinnacle1.01I 99.01%NM 97.51%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%39.62I 2.52%NM 2.49%EV +61.86%E +1.56%K +1.60%G +0.991%1.5%2026-05-12 13:00
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +38.90%E +1.14%K +1.18%G +0.459%2.0%2026-05-12 12:52
theScore Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +38.90%E +1.14%K +1.18%G +0.459%2.9%2026-05-12 13:00
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%2.9%2026-05-12 12:59
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%2.9%2026-05-12 12:59
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%3.8%2026-05-12 12:59
SportsBet1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +6.22%E +0.239%K +0.249%G +0.015%3.8%2026-05-12 12:53
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +2.13%E +0.085%K +0.089%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-12 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +2.13%E +0.085%K +0.089%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-12 13:00
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +2.13%E +0.085%K +0.089%G +0.002%3.0%2026-05-12 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.17%E -2.12%K -108.35%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-12 12:59
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.17%E -2.12%K -108.35%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-12 13:00
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -14.21%E -0.677%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 12:59
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 95.37%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%20.60I 4.85%NM 4.63%EV -15.84%E -0.769%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 12:59
BetAnything1.02I 98.04%NM 95.14%EV -2.17%E -2.12%K -108.35%G +0.000%19.95I 5.01%NM 4.86%EV -18.50%E -0.927%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 12:59
NordicBet1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -22.38%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 12:59
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -22.38%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 13:00
ReBet1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -22.38%E -1.18%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 12:59
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -26.75%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.67%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%17.93I 5.58%NM 5.33%EV -26.75%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 13:00
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 94.67%EV -4.09%E -4.09%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.33%EV -27.49%E -1.55%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 12:51
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -32.59%E -1.98%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -34.63%E -2.16%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 12:57
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -38.72%E -2.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 12:59
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -38.72%E -2.58%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 12:57
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -41.78%E -2.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 12:59
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.13%E -3.10%K -312.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -55.06%E -5.01%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 12:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-12 12:59
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-12 13:00
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 97.32%37.04I 2.70%NM 2.68%0.7%2026-05-12 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%0.8%2026-05-12 13:00
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%35.97I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.8%2026-05-12 13:00