The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Francisco Comesana v Billy Harris

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Francisco Comesana (Local)

Prediction 79.17%1.26fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -20.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.07%79.24%79.16%80.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.191.2186.21%84.09%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Billy Harris (Visit)

Prediction 20.83%4.80fair odd
EV +3.51%
Edge +0.706%
Kelly +0.884%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 4.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.32%20.76%20.84%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.504.474.9723.81%22.23%22.37%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Comesana (Local): 79.17%; Billy Harris (Visit): 20.83%. For Billy Harris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -5.78%E -4.86%K -30.44%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV +3.51%E +0.706%K +0.884%G +0.031%4.2%2026-05-04 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.20%EV -5.78%E -4.86%K -30.44%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV +0.384%E +0.080%K +0.100%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.20%EV -5.78%E -4.86%K -30.44%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV +0.384%E +0.080%K +0.100%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 08:05
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 08:05
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.37%E -6.30%K -43.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 08:00
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.16%E -7.03%K -50.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.28%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 08:00
GTbets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.20%E -3.47%K -20.00%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.42%EV -7.53%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 07:59
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.82%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 07:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.45%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 07:59
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 08:05
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%4.3%2026-05-04 08:05