Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dalibor Svrcina v Miomir Kecmanovic

Inizio: 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dalibor Svrcina (Casa)

Previsione 48.80%2.05quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.708%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.30%48.67%48.83%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.951.952.0254.05%51.38%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Miomir Kecmanovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.20%1.95quota equa
EV -2.20%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.33%51.17%52.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.841.841.9157.14%54.34%54.35%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Dalibor Svrcina (Casa): 48.80%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Trasferta): 51.20%. Per Dalibor Svrcina (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.05. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.02, con un valore atteso del -1.43%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.43%E -0.708%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -1.92%E -0.955%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 08:05
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -1.92%E -0.955%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -7.32%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 05:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 05:05
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 08:25
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 05:15
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.79%E -3.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 06:40
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 05:15
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 07:55
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 00:01
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 23:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 05:00
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:55
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 07:55
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 07:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.32%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 05:15
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 18:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.35%E -4.66%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 05:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.35%E -4.66%K -10.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 05:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.39%E -5.94%K -13.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 05:05
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:05
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 05:00
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 05:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 05:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 08:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 06:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 05:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.79%E -3.14%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 08:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 08:00
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 06:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 02:00
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.29%E -3.83%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 05:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.29%E -3.83%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 08:00
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.29%E -3.83%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 07:55
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 06:05
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 06:05
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 06:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-07 08:55