La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dalibor Svrcina v Miomir Kecmanovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dalibor Svrcina (Local)
Predicción 48.80%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.708%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.30%48.67%48.83%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.951.952.0254.05%51.38%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)
Predicción 51.20%1.95momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.33%51.17%52.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.841.841.9157.14%54.34%54.35%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.43%E -0.708%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -1.92%E -0.955%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -1.92%E -0.955%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -7.32%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 05:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 08:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.79%E -3.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 06:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.87%E -1.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 00:01 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 23:55 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 07:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.32%E -4.05%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 18:11 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.35%E -4.66%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.35%E -4.66%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 05:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.39%E -5.94%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| ReBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Betsson | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 05:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 05:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 06:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.79%E -3.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 08:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 06:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.29%E -3.83%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 05:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.29%E -3.83%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 08:00 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.29%E -3.83%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 06:05 |
| Neds | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 06:05 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.73%E -5.26%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 06:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |