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Cristian Garin v Moez Echargui
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristian Garin (Local)
assuming max odds 1.17
Moez Echargui (Visit)
assuming max odds 6.19
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristian Garin (Local): 83.64%; Moez Echargui (Visit): 16.36%. For Moez Echargui (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.45%EV -4.65%E -4.08%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.55%EV +1.26%E +0.203%K +0.242%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.16%E -6.45%K -65.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.85%E -0.309%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -7.25%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.86%EV -7.25%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 08:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.32%E -5.64%K -52.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -7.99%E -7.27%K -79.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -10.03%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.81%E -3.31%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.48%E -4.85%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.21%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 07:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -2.14%E -1.83%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -20.66%E -4.26%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 08:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90% | 2.8% | 2026-05-04 08:05 |