L’École des cotes

Casper Ruud v Zachary Svajda

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 11:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prévision 90.28%1.11cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -3.18%
Kelly -48.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.30%90.33%90.24%92.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.061.061.0798.04%94.74%94.34%93.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zachary Svajda (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.72%10.29cote équitable
EV +26.34%
Avantage +2.03%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.578%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.47%9.67%9.76%11.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.009.509.3513.0012.50%10.53%10.70%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +26.34%E +2.03%K +2.20%G +0.578%2.9%2026-05-08 10:54
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +22.46%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.435%4.1%2026-05-08 10:54
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.63%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.251%3.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.63%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.251%3.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +11.77%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.132%3.0%2026-05-08 11:04
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +11.77%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.132%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 91.21%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.79%EV +7.88%E +0.710%K +0.780%G +0.061%2.5%2026-05-08 10:54
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%4.3%2026-05-08 10:55
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:05
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:04
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:04
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:04
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%6.2%2026-05-08 10:59
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.75%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.25%EV +1.08%E +0.103%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.0%2026-05-08 11:04
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 10:52
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.91%E -7.76%K -395.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 10:54
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -3.78%E -0.382%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 10:54
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -4.76%E -0.485%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 10:55
NetBet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -5.24%E -0.538%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:59
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.34%E -0.548%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.34%E -0.548%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 10:55
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
ReBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:00
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 90.24%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.68%G +0.000%9.52I 10.50%NM 9.76%EV -7.48%E -0.785%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:54
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.67%E -0.808%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.67%E -0.808%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 90.09%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.91%EV -8.16%E -0.863%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:05
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.10%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:54
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.53%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 10:54
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.53%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.53%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.12%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -16.42%E -1.91%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 11:04
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
PlayUp1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:54
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:54
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:55
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 10:55
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 10:55
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -19.82%E -2.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 10:54
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 10:54
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 10:55
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-05-08 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-05-08 11:04
Matchbook1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-05-08 11:05
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 91.66%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.34%2.0%2026-05-08 11:00
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-05-08 10:54