مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casper Ruud v Zachary Svajda

البداية: 2026-05-08 11:20 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casper Ruud (المضيف)

التنبؤ 90.28%1.11السعر العادل
EV -3.40%
الأفضلية -3.18%
Kelly -48.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
88.30%90.33%90.24%92.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.061.061.0798.04%94.74%94.34%93.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zachary Svajda (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.72%10.29السعر العادل
EV +26.34%
الأفضلية +2.03%
Kelly +2.20%
النمو +0.578%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 13.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.47%9.67%9.76%11.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.009.509.3513.0012.50%10.53%10.70%7.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +26.34%E +2.03%K +2.20%G +0.578%2.9%2026-05-08 10:54
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +22.46%E +1.78%K +1.94%G +0.435%4.1%2026-05-08 10:54
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.63%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.251%3.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +16.63%E +1.39%K +1.51%G +0.251%3.6%2026-05-08 10:54
Coolbet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +11.77%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.132%3.0%2026-05-08 11:04
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +11.77%E +1.02%K +1.12%G +0.132%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 91.21%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%11.10I 9.01%NM 8.79%EV +7.88%E +0.710%K +0.780%G +0.061%2.5%2026-05-08 10:54
Winamax (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%4.3%2026-05-08 10:55
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:05
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:04
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:04
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%5.2%2026-05-08 11:04
BetUS1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.68%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +6.91%E +0.628%K +0.691%G +0.048%6.2%2026-05-08 10:59
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.75%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.25%EV +1.08%E +0.103%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.0%2026-05-08 11:04
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 10:52
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.91%E -7.76%K -395.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -2.81%E -0.281%K -0.312%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 10:54
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -3.78%E -0.382%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 10:54
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -4.76%E -0.485%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 10:55
NetBet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -5.24%E -0.538%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:59
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.34%E -0.548%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.34%E -0.548%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 10:55
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
ReBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Marathon Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -6.70%E -0.698%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:00
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 90.24%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.68%G +0.000%9.52I 10.50%NM 9.76%EV -7.48%E -0.785%K -0.878%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:54
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.67%E -0.808%K -0.903%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.67%E -0.808%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 90.09%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.91%EV -8.16%E -0.863%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:05
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.10%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:54
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.53%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 10:54
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.53%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.53%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.12%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -16.42%E -1.91%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 11:04
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:54
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 10:55
PlayUp1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:54
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:54
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:55
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 10:55
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.11%E -5.87%K -152.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -17.39%E -2.05%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 10:55
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -19.82%E -2.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 10:54
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 10:54
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 10:54
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.30%E -4.06%K -71.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 10:55
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.20%E -4.96%K -104.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.25%E -2.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 11:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-05-08 10:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-05-08 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-05-08 11:04
Matchbook1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-05-08 11:05
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 91.66%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.34%2.0%2026-05-08 11:00
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%3.2%2026-05-08 10:54