默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Alexander Shevchenko

开赛时间: 2026-05-06 11:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (主队)

预测 66.76%1.50公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -2.20%
Kelly -7.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.53%66.74%66.74%68.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.32%70.18%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alexander Shevchenko (客队)

预测 33.24%3.01公平赔率
EV -0.287%
优势 -0.096%
Kelly -0.143%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.96%33.26%33.26%34.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.832.853.0037.04%35.29%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Camilo Ugo Carabelli (主队):66.76%;Alexander Shevchenko (客队):33.24%。 对于“Alexander Shevchenko (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.01。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.00,期望值为-0.287%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -2.61%E -0.892%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 10:29
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.287%E -0.096%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -1.62%E -0.546%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 10:43
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.287%E -0.096%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 10:29
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.95%E -0.661%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 10:30
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:30
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.61%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:30
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:30
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 10:30
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.26%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.26%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.26%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:30
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.61%E -0.892%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.61%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -3.94%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 10:30
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 10:39
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.951%E -0.319%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.61%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 10:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.54%E -6.23%K -23.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 10:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:39
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-05-06 10:39
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%2.9%2026-05-06 10:26