A Escola das Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Alexander Shevchenko

Início: 2026-05-06 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)

Previsão 66.76%1.50odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -2.20%
Kelly -7.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.53%66.74%66.74%68.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.32%70.18%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Shevchenko (Visitante)

Previsão 33.24%3.01odd justa
EV -0.287%
Vantagem -0.096%
Kelly -0.143%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.96%33.26%33.26%34.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.832.853.0037.04%35.29%35.09%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -2.61%E -0.892%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 10:30
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.19%E -2.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 10:29
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.287%E -0.096%K -0.143%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 10:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 10:30
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -1.62%E -0.546%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 10:43
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.53%E -3.17%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:29
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.287%E -0.096%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 10:29
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.95%E -0.661%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 10:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:30
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.61%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:29
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:30
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:30
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 10:30
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.26%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.26%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.26%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 10:30
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.61%E -0.892%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:29
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.61%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 10:30
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -3.94%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:29
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 10:29
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.93%E -2.48%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 10:30
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.87%E -4.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 10:39
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.951%E -0.319%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.61%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 10:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 10:30
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:29
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.53%E -4.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.60%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.54%E -6.23%K -23.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.27%E -1.85%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 10:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-06 10:39
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%2.3%2026-05-06 10:39
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%2.9%2026-05-06 10:26