The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Benjamin Bonzi v Dalibor Svrcina

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Prediction 61.77%1.62fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.57%61.91%61.70%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.531.5768.03%65.79%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalibor Svrcina (Visit)

Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV -0.612%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -0.383%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.09%38.30%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.422.6042.55%40.83%41.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 61.77%; Dalibor Svrcina (Visit): 38.23%. For Dalibor Svrcina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.612%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.49%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 13:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.685%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.685%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 14:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.49%E -3.59%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 14:05
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.49%E -3.59%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 13:59
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-04 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.96%E -5.34%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.612%E -0.236%K -0.383%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 13:54
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.57%E -5.79%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 14:05
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.19%E -6.25%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 14:04
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.19%E -6.25%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-05-04 14:05