A Escola das Odds

Alexandre Muller v Botic van de Zandschulp

Início: 2026-05-06 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexandre Muller (Local)

Previsão 43.98%2.27odd justa
EV +4.66%
Vantagem +1.96%
Kelly +3.38%
Crescimento +0.157%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.50%43.98%44.30%47.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.142.142.3851.28%46.76%46.73%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Previsão 56.02%1.78odd justa
EV +0.845%
Vantagem +0.469%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.70%56.02%55.70%59.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.8062.50%59.79%59.88%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +4.66%E +1.96%K +3.38%G +0.157%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 11:50
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV +0.264%E +0.116%K +0.206%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 11:37
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.06%E -0.469%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:54
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.06%E -0.469%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 11:49
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:54
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:54
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:54
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:54
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:54
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.37%E -1.07%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 11:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:54
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:39
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 11:54
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.25%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 11:49
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -4.13%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:54
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 11:54
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 11:54
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 11:55
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV +0.845%E +0.469%K +1.06%G +0.009%3.2%2026-05-06 11:55
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 11:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 11:54
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 11:54
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:54
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:54
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 11:54
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 11:54
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -8.97%E -4.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 11:55
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:55
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -11.17%E -5.53%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -8.68%E -5.32%K -13.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-06 11:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.05%E -6.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -12.05%E -6.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -12.05%E -6.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-06 11:54
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.05%E -6.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.36%E -6.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 11:54
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -12.93%E -6.53%K -13.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 11:48
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -14.25%E -7.31%K -15.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-05-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-05-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-06 11:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%1.2%2026-05-06 11:55
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-05-06 11:55
Novig2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%4.9%2026-05-06 11:55