StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alejandro Tabilo v Francisco Cerundolo

Matchstart: 2026-05-08 14:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alejandro Tabilo (Hemma)

Prognos 41.32%2.42rättvist odds
EV -0.838%
Fördel -0.349%
Kelly -0.599%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.39%41.48%41.18%44.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.57%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Borta)

Prognos 58.68%1.70rättvist odds
EV +2.11%
Fördel +1.21%
Kelly +2.85%
Tillväxt +0.060%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.26%58.52%58.82%60.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.611.601.7464.52%62.23%62.50%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alejandro Tabilo (Hemma): 41.32%; Francisco Cerundolo (Borta): 58.68%. För Francisco Cerundolo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.70. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.74, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.11%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -10.75%E -4.98%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.11%E +1.21%K +2.85%G +0.060%3.8%2026-05-08 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -10.75%E -4.98%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +2.11%E +1.21%K +2.85%G +0.060%3.8%2026-05-08 14:14
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -6.62%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -0.239%E -0.141%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 14:15
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.239%E -0.141%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 14:14
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.14%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 14:14
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:14
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 14:14
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 14:14
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 14:15
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.62%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.76%E -2.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.76%E -2.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.35%E -2.67%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 14:15
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 14:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 14:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 14:09
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.05%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.14%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 14:14
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.80%E -2.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 14:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 14:14
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 14:14
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 14:14
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.11%E -3.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 14:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.14%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 14:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 14:14
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.28%E -4.61%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 14:14
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.08%E -0.877%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 14:15
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.87%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 14:14
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:15
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:14
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:14
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.838%E -0.349%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 14:14
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.31%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.69%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 14:08
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.46%E -5.42%K -15.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.90%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 14:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-08 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-08 14:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-08 14:15
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-05-08 14:15