L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Zachary Svajda v Marin Cilic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Prévision 41.66%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.025%
Avantage -0.011%
Kelly -0.018%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%41.87%41.52%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.002.212.252.40100.00%45.17%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Marin Cilic (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.34%1.71cote équitable
EV +2.69%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +3.53%
Croissance +0.095%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%58.13%58.48%61.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.611.621.76100.00%62.12%61.73%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -10.02%E -4.64%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV +2.69%E +1.53%K +3.53%G +0.095% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +2.10%E +1.20%K +2.80%G +0.059% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:43 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +1.52%E +0.873%K +2.05%G +0.031% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV +1.52%E +0.873%K +2.05%G +0.031% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -12.11%E -5.74%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV +1.52%E +0.873%K +2.05%G +0.031% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.52%E +0.873%K +2.05%G +0.031% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:10 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -12.52%E -5.96%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.57%E -1.54%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 02:43 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.11%E -3.19%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -15.85%E -7.85%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -3.15%E -1.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-05 02:43 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.32%E -2.63%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.02%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.90%E -3.01%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.11%E -3.19%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -10.44%E -4.86%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.07%E -3.77%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -9.19%E -4.22%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -6.65%E -4.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.23%E -4.55%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.82%E -4.95%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.025%E -0.011%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.28%E -0.538%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.36%E -3.80%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.40%E -5.35%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.025%E -0.011%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.19%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.57%E -6.17%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -0.025%E -0.011%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.73%E -7.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.858%E -0.361%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.73%E -7.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.858%E -0.361%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.73%E -7.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.858%E -0.361%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.73%E -7.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -0.858%E -0.361%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.73%E -7.02%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -6.27%E -2.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -11.32%E -7.45%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.34%E -58.34%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.66%E -41.66%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 100.0% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 1.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 02:43 |