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Vitaliy Sachko v Mackenzie McDonald
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vitaliy Sachko (Local)
assuming max odds 5.25
Mackenzie McDonald (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitaliy Sachko (Local): 20.47%; Mackenzie McDonald (Visit): 79.53%. For Vitaliy Sachko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +7.47%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.131% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.54%E -7.43%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +7.47%E +1.42%K +1.76%G +0.131% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -9.34%E -8.19%K -66.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +6.44%E +1.24%K +1.53%G +0.099% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -9.34%E -8.19%K -66.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +6.44%E +1.24%K +1.53%G +0.099% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.93%E -9.76%K -91.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +6.44%E +1.24%K +1.53%G +0.099% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -10.93%E -9.76%K -91.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.15%E -5.22%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -1.74%E -0.363%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.95%E -5.94%K -40.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.88%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.97%E -2.44%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.36%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.56%E -3.80%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -15.05%E -3.63%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -6.15%E -5.22%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -18.94%E -4.78%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV +1.00%E +0.790%K +3.71%G +0.037% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -19.35%E -4.91%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV +0.208%E +0.165%K +0.799%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -19.35%E -4.91%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV +0.208%E +0.165%K +0.799%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -20.17%E -5.17%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV +0.208%E +0.165%K +0.799%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -22.21%E -5.85%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -0.588%E -0.470%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -26.31%E -7.31%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +1.80%E +1.40%K +6.42%G +0.115% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.83%EV -27.13%E -7.62%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.17%EV -1.38%E -1.12%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-02 23:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.