Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vit Kopriva (Local): 54.81%; Dalibor Svrcina (Visit): 45.19%. For Dalibor Svrcina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.575%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -1.35%E -0.749%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.99%E -1.69%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.09%E -2.34%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.29%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.09%E -2.34%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.64%E -2.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.64%E -2.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.38%E -1.10%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.64%E -2.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.18%E -3.00%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.28%E -3.67%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.28%E -3.67%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.71%E -4.31%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.83%E -4.02%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 23:42 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.38%E -4.36%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.35%E -3.59%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 23:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.92%E -4.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -8.26%E -4.07%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.575%E -0.261%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.09%E -2.43%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |