La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Valentin Vacherot v Casper Ruud
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Predicción 39.42%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.514%
Ventaja +0.201%
Kelly +0.331%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.39%39.39%41.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.422.5544.44%40.97%41.32%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Casper Ruud (Visitante)
Predicción 60.58%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.99%60.61%60.61%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.21%64.10%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.275%E -0.109%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.669%E -0.265%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 22:48 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.25%E -0.905%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 22:48 |
| SportsBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| GTbets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 22:43 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.79%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.79%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 22:43 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.58%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.91%E -5.21%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-09 22:47 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-09 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |
| Novig | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 22:49 |