مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valentin Vacherot v Casper Ruud

البداية: 2026-03-09 22:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.42%2.54السعر العادل
EV +0.514%
الأفضلية +0.201%
Kelly +0.331%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%39.39%39.39%41.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.442.422.5544.44%40.97%41.32%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Casper Ruud (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.58%1.65السعر العادل
EV -1.86%
الأفضلية -1.15%
Kelly -2.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.99%60.61%60.61%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.561.561.6266.67%64.21%64.10%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 22:50
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:50
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:50
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.514%E +0.201%K +0.331%G +0.002%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:50
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.275%E -0.109%K -0.179%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.669%E -0.265%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 22:50
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 22:50
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 22:49
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.46%E -0.583%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 22:48
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.25%E -0.905%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 22:50
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -2.64%E -1.07%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:49
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.03%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 22:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 22:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:49
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:48
SportsBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 22:50
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.82%E -1.57%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:50
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.22%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 22:49
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:50
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.61%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:50
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 22:49
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 22:43
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:49
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:49
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 22:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 22:50
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 22:44
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Unibet (FR)2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.79%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.28%E -2.71%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:49
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.79%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.49%E -3.52%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 22:49
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 22:49
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 22:49
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 22:49
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 22:49
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 22:49
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 22:43
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.58%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 22:49
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.91%E -5.21%K -15.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 22:49
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -8.16%E -3.50%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -1.86%E -1.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 22:49
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.31%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-09 22:47
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-03-09 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-09 22:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-09 22:50
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-09 22:49
Novig2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-03-09 22:49