StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Royer v Benjamin Bonzi

Matchstart: 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Royer (Hemma)

Prognos 48.69%2.05rättvist odds
EV -1.15%
Fördel -0.567%
Kelly -1.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.30%48.56%48.68%49.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.901.961.962.0352.63%51.12%51.02%49.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Benjamin Bonzi (Borta)

Prognos 51.31%1.95rättvist odds
EV -2.01%
Fördel -1.05%
Kelly -2.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.77%51.44%51.32%52.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.52%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Valentin Royer (Hemma): 48.69%; Benjamin Bonzi (Borta): 51.31%. För Valentin Royer (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.05. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.03, med väntevärdet -1.15%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.15%E -0.567%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 22:29
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.03%E -1.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 21:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 02:25
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 02:25
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -2.01%E -1.05%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:40
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.60%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.57%E -2.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.57%E -2.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:40
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.60%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:35
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 17:15
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 20:40
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.16%E -4.56%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.21%E -5.84%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 20:50
NordicBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:45
Betsson🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 22:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:14
Neds🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 20:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 17:14
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 17:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:56
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-03-05 22:30
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-05 22:40
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%2.5%2026-03-05 22:40