La scuola delle quote

Valentin Royer v Benjamin Bonzi

Inizio: 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Valentin Royer (Casa)

Previsione 48.69%2.05quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.567%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.30%48.56%48.68%49.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.961.962.0352.63%51.12%51.02%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Benjamin Bonzi (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.31%1.95quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.77%51.44%51.32%52.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.52%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.15%E -0.567%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 22:29
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.03%E -1.60%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 22:10
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 21:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 22:09
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:25
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.61%E -1.31%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:55
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.52%E -1.33%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 20:50
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 02:25
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 02:25
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -2.01%E -1.05%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:40
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.60%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.07%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 02:25
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.57%E -2.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.57%E -2.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:40
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.60%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:00
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 21:54
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:45
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:35
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 17:15
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 20:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 16:59
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -8.16%E -4.56%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 02:25
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.21%E -5.84%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 20:50
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:45
Betsson1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 22:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.53%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 22:40
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.06%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 22:40
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 22:09
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.02%E -3.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-05 22:39
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:14
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:10
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 20:50
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 22:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 17:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 17:14
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.48%E -3.94%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 21:56
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-03-05 22:30
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-05 22:40
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%2.5%2026-03-05 22:40