L’École des cotes

Terence Atmane v Grigor Dimitrov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prévision 41.53%2.41cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.714%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.51%41.51%41.58%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.272.252.4545.45%44.07%44.44%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grigor Dimitrov (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.47%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.49%58.42%60.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.631.6763.69%61.33%61.35%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.75%E +0.714%K +1.21%G +0.021%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.75%E +0.714%K +1.21%G +0.021%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 18:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV +1.75%E +0.714%K +1.21%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 18:55
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.16%E -0.486%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.40%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 10:55
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 18:55
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 17:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 15:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 18:49
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 18:05
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 15:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 18:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 15:00
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 18:48
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:20
Betsson2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:45
NordicBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:45
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.31%E -2.33%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 15:40
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 18:50
DraftKings2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 15:39
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 15:49
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 18:50
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 09:45
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 18:54
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:54
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 15:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:44
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 18:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 18:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 15:49
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.23%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 11:45
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.39%E -3.31%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:50
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 16:59
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 18:45
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 18:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 18:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-05 18:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-03-05 18:55