La escuela de los momios

Terence Atmane v Grigor Dimitrov

Inicio: 2026-03-05 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Predicción 41.53%2.41momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.714%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.51%41.51%41.58%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.272.252.4545.45%44.07%44.44%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grigor Dimitrov (Visitante)

Predicción 58.47%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.49%58.42%60.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6763.69%61.33%61.35%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.75%E +0.714%K +1.21%G +0.021%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.75%E +0.714%K +1.21%G +0.021%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 18:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV +1.75%E +0.714%K +1.21%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 18:55
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.16%E -0.486%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.40%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 10:55
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 18:55
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.06%E -1.76%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:09
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 17:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 15:45
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 18:49
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 18:05
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 15:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 18:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 15:00
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 18:48
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:20
Betsson2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:45
NordicBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:45
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.89%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 15:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.31%E -2.33%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 15:40
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 18:50
DraftKings2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 15:39
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 15:49
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 18:50
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 09:45
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.53%E -2.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 18:54
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:54
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:55
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.11%E -2.51%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 18:54
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.70%E -2.88%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 15:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:44
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 18:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.86%E -3.64%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 18:55
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 15:49
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.56%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.20%E -5.23%K -14.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 11:45
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.39%E -3.31%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.94%E -1.77%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 19:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 18:50
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.36%E -1.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 16:59
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 18:45
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.28%E -3.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 18:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 18:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.45%E -4.03%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-03-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-03-05 18:55
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-05 18:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-03-05 18:55