Language:English
Roman Andres Burruchaga v Moez Echargui
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Local)
assuming max odds 1.65
Moez Echargui (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Roman Andres Burruchaga (Local): 64.02%; Moez Echargui (Visit): 35.98%. For Moez Echargui (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +5.63%E +3.41%K +8.66%G +0.487% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -19.04%E -8.46%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +2.43%E +1.52%K +4.04%G +0.098% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -20.84%E -9.47%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +2.43%E +1.52%K +4.04%G +0.098% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -20.84%E -9.47%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -0.134%E -0.086%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -13.64%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -0.775%E -0.500%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -19.04%E -8.46%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -0.775%E -0.500%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -19.04%E -8.46%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.34%E -2.21%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.92%E -1.47%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.92%E -1.47%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 00:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.90%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.84%E -4.83%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +6.15%E +2.09%K +3.15%G +0.194% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.76%EV -9.10%E -6.41%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.24%EV -6.08%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 00:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +4.35%E +1.50%K +2.29%G +0.100% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.55%E +0.896%K +1.38%G +0.035% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.754%E +0.269%K +0.419%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |