L’École des cotes

Rinky Hijikata v Cameron Norrie

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rinky Hijikata (Local)

Prévision 19.69%5.08cote équitable
EV +3.38%
Avantage +0.644%
Kelly +0.796%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.22%21.23%19.80%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.304.354.605.2530.30%22.97%21.74%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cameron Norrie (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.31%1.25cote équitable
EV +8.42%
Avantage +6.23%
Kelly +24.05%
Croissance +2.02%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.22%78.77%80.20%81.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.211.181.3587.72%82.33%84.75%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -34.23%E -10.25%K -14.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV +8.42%E +6.23%K +24.05%G +2.02%4.0%2026-03-11 18:10
BetOnline.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -34.23%E -10.25%K -14.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV +8.42%E +6.23%K +24.05%G +2.02%4.0%2026-03-11 18:11
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -30.68%E -8.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV +7.61%E +5.68%K +22.39%G +1.70%3.0%2026-03-11 13:00
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%EV -27.34%E -7.41%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%EV +6.81%E +5.12%K +20.64%G +1.41%2.3%2026-03-11 18:05
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV +6.01%E +4.55%K +18.77%G +1.13%4.7%2026-03-11 13:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -31.08%E -8.88%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV +5.20%E +3.97%K +16.79%G +0.873%4.9%2026-03-11 17:15
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV +5.20%E +3.97%K +16.79%G +0.873%5.3%2026-03-11 18:06
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -34.03%E -10.16%K -14.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV +5.20%E +3.97%K +16.79%G +0.873%6.2%2026-03-11 16:10
GTbets3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -29.70%E -8.32%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%4.9%2026-03-11 18:05
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -30.09%E -8.48%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.1%2026-03-11 18:00
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -31.08%E -8.88%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.5%2026-03-11 16:50
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.9%2026-03-11 17:15
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.9%2026-03-11 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -35.02%E -10.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%7.2%2026-03-11 12:45
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -35.02%E -10.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%7.2%2026-03-11 12:45
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -35.02%E -10.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%7.2%2026-03-11 17:55
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -29.11%E -8.09%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +2.79%E +2.18%K +9.98%G +0.279%5.9%2026-03-11 18:10
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -30.09%E -8.48%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV +1.99%E +1.57%K +7.37%G +0.147%6.9%2026-03-11 18:07
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -34.03%E -10.16%K -14.48%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV +1.99%E +1.57%K +7.37%G +0.147%8.6%2026-03-11 18:00
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.83%E -2.34%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Coolbet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 18:14
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 18:15
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -15.32%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 18:15
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.40%E +0.461%K +0.571%G +0.014%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 18:15
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:15
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.40%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 18:14
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +3.38%E +0.644%K +0.796%G +0.027%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 18:13
DraftKings5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV +0.626%E +0.122%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:15
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.49%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 18:15
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 18:14
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:15
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Betsson5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.429%E +0.084%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 18:15
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 18:15
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 18:15
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.36%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 18:15
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-03-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-03-11 18:15
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%2.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Novig5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15