La escuela de los momios

Rinky Hijikata v Cameron Norrie

Inicio: 2026-03-11 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rinky Hijikata (Local)

Predicción 19.69%5.08momio equitativo
EV +3.38%
Ventaja +0.644%
Kelly +0.796%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.22%21.23%19.80%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.354.605.2530.30%22.97%21.74%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cameron Norrie (Visitante)

Predicción 80.31%1.25momio equitativo
EV +8.42%
Ventaja +6.23%
Kelly +24.05%
Crecimiento +2.02%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.22%78.77%80.20%81.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.211.181.3587.72%82.33%84.75%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -34.23%E -10.25%K -14.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV +8.42%E +6.23%K +24.05%G +2.02%4.0%2026-03-11 18:10
BetOnline.ag3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -34.23%E -10.25%K -14.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV +8.42%E +6.23%K +24.05%G +2.02%4.0%2026-03-11 18:11
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -30.68%E -8.72%K -12.18%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV +7.61%E +5.68%K +22.39%G +1.70%3.0%2026-03-11 13:00
Pinnacle3.69I 27.10%NM 26.49%EV -27.34%E -7.41%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.51%EV +6.81%E +5.12%K +20.64%G +1.41%2.3%2026-03-11 18:05
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV +6.01%E +4.55%K +18.77%G +1.13%4.7%2026-03-11 13:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -31.08%E -8.88%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV +5.20%E +3.97%K +16.79%G +0.873%4.9%2026-03-11 17:15
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV +5.20%E +3.97%K +16.79%G +0.873%5.3%2026-03-11 18:06
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -34.03%E -10.16%K -14.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV +5.20%E +3.97%K +16.79%G +0.873%6.2%2026-03-11 16:10
GTbets3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -29.70%E -8.32%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%4.9%2026-03-11 18:05
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -30.09%E -8.48%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.1%2026-03-11 18:00
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -31.08%E -8.88%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.5%2026-03-11 16:50
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.9%2026-03-11 17:15
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -32.06%E -9.29%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%5.9%2026-03-11 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -35.02%E -10.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%7.2%2026-03-11 12:45
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -35.02%E -10.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%7.2%2026-03-11 12:45
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -35.02%E -10.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +4.40%E +3.38%K +14.67%G +0.645%7.2%2026-03-11 17:55
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -29.11%E -8.09%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV +2.79%E +2.18%K +9.98%G +0.279%5.9%2026-03-11 18:10
NetBet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -30.09%E -8.48%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV +1.99%E +1.57%K +7.37%G +0.147%6.9%2026-03-11 18:07
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -34.03%E -10.16%K -14.48%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV +1.99%E +1.57%K +7.37%G +0.147%8.6%2026-03-11 18:00
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.83%E -2.34%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Coolbet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 18:14
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 18:15
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -15.32%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -3.63%E -3.03%K -18.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 18:15
FanDuel5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.40%E +0.461%K +0.571%G +0.014%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 18:15
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:15
NordicBet4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -10.40%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 18:14
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +3.38%E +0.644%K +0.796%G +0.027%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 18:13
DraftKings5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV +0.626%E +0.122%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:15
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.49%E -0.927%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 18:15
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 18:14
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:15
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.04%E -5.16%K -35.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Betsson5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.429%E +0.084%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 18:15
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 18:15
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.45%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 18:15
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.36%E -3.04%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.84%E -5.90%K -42.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 18:15
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 18:15
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.42%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -11.39%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.65%E -6.65%K -50.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:15
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.45%E -7.41%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%0.3%2026-03-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-03-11 18:15
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%2.9%2026-03-11 18:15
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%3.7%2026-03-11 18:15
Novig5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%7.7%2026-03-11 18:15