L’École des cotes

Quentin Halys v Adam Walton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 63.15%1.58cote équitable
EV -0.852%
Avantage -0.543%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%63.10%63.13%64.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5769.44%66.61%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adam Walton (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.85%2.71cote équitable
EV -0.509%
Avantage -0.188%
Kelly -0.299%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%36.90%36.87%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.7041.67%38.81%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -0.852%E -0.543%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 00:20
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 10:04
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.46%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.46%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 17:35
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.40%E -2.52%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 09:34
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -3.38%E -2.21%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.31%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 00:15
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.509%E -0.188%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:58
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.01%E -2.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 15:40
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.35%E -0.887%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 18:20
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.93%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 11:00
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 10:55
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.64%E -3.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 10:54
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.46%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 18:20
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.46%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 15:40
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:05
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 09:35
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 16:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 10:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 17:31
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:14
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:14
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 17:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 18:15
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.19%E -1.61%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 15:40
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 09:40
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 15:39
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.40%E -2.52%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 14:45
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:14
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 15:39
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.72%E -3.97%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.27%E -3.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.56%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 07:19
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.90%E -3.96%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.25%E -0.465%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 17:49
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.90%E -3.96%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -1.98%E -0.745%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 17:49
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:49
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 09:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.54%E -4.42%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 09:44
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.43%E -5.81%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.06%E -6.29%K -20.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.46%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-04 18:20
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-04 18:20