La scuola delle quote

Novak Djokovic v Aleksandar Kovacevic

Inizio: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Novak Djokovic (Casa)

Previsione 86.03%1.16quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -2.46%
Kelly -21.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.27%85.94%86.08%88.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.071.111.111.1393.46%90.42%90.09%88.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.97%7.16quota equa
EV +11.73%
Vantaggio +1.47%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescita +0.197%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.99%14.06%13.92%15.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.786.808.0016.67%14.76%14.71%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +11.73%E +1.47%K +1.68%G +0.197%4.2%2026-03-09 13:00
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +6.28%E +0.826%K +0.951%G +0.060%4.0%2026-03-09 08:39
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +6.28%E +0.826%K +0.951%G +0.060%4.0%2026-03-09 08:39
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +4.75%E +0.633%K +0.730%G +0.035%3.4%2026-03-09 15:45
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +3.35%E +0.453%K +0.524%G +0.018%4.4%2026-03-09 16:04
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.66%EV -2.78%E -2.46%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.34%EV +2.51%E +0.342%K +0.396%G +0.010%2.1%2026-03-09 17:55
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +1.26%E +0.173%K +0.201%G +0.003%3.1%2026-03-09 16:44
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +0.557%E +0.077%K +0.090%G +0.001%4.0%2026-03-09 15:45
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +0.557%E +0.077%K +0.090%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-09 17:49
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:39
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:39
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:39
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:39
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:39
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 13:50
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 15:45
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 15:44
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 16:04
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 16:05
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 17:55
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.04%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.96%EV -4.47%E -0.654%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 17:55
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -5.03%E -0.740%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 17:49
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 16:45
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 15:39
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.48%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -6.43%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 14:00
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -7.12%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 17:55
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -7.82%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 14:04
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 85.29%EV -2.78%E -2.46%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.71%EV -8.52%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 17:55
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -8.66%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 17:49
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 14:00
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 13:59
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 14:00
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 15:44
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 17:54
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 15:39
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -9.92%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -10.62%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 14:00
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -10.62%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 14:00
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -12.71%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 17:54
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 17:55
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 16:50
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 16:50
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 16:49
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 06:14
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 13:55
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 13:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-09 17:40
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-03-09 17:50
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-03-09 17:55
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.85%7.46I 13.40%NM 13.15%1.9%2026-03-09 17:40