La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Novak Djokovic v Aleksandar Kovacevic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Novak Djokovic (Local)
Predicción 86.03%1.16momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -21.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.27%85.94%86.08%88.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.111.111.1393.46%90.42%90.09%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Visitante)
Predicción 13.97%7.16momio equitativo
EV +11.73%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.197%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.99%14.06%13.92%15.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.786.808.0016.67%14.76%14.71%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +11.73%E +1.47%K +1.68%G +0.197% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +6.28%E +0.826%K +0.951%G +0.060% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +6.28%E +0.826%K +0.951%G +0.060% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 08:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +4.75%E +0.633%K +0.730%G +0.035% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 15:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +3.35%E +0.453%K +0.524%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.66%EV -2.78%E -2.46%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.34I 13.62%NM 13.34%EV +2.51%E +0.342%K +0.396%G +0.010% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +1.26%E +0.173%K +0.201%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +0.557%E +0.077%K +0.090%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +0.557%E +0.077%K +0.090%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Casumo | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| Unibet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 13:50 |
| Betsson | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 15:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 16:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 16:05 |
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -2.24%E -0.319%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| GTbets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.04%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.96%EV -4.47%E -0.654%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -5.03%E -0.740%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 17:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| Bovada | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -5.73%E -0.849%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.94%E -7.42%K -113.48%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -6.43%E -0.959%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 14:00 |
| Fliff | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -7.12%E -1.07%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -7.82%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 14:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.29%EV -2.78%E -2.46%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.71%EV -8.52%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -8.66%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 17:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 13:59 |
| Coral | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 14:00 |
| Caesars | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 15:44 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -9.22%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 15:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -9.92%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -10.62%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 14:00 |
| Neds | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.22%E -5.71%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -10.62%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -12.71%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 17:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.64%E -3.25%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 06:14 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.50%E -4.06%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.36%E -4.88%K -53.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65% | 1.3% | 2026-03-09 17:55 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.85% | 7.46I 13.40%NM 13.15% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 17:40 |