Language:English
Nicolas Mejia v Nikoloz Basilashvili
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nicolas Mejia (Local)
assuming max odds 2.20
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicolas Mejia (Local): 57.99%; Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit): 42.01%. For Nicolas Mejia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +27.57%E +12.53%K +22.97%G +6.33% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -28.16%E -16.47%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-02 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +27.57%E +12.53%K +22.97%G +6.33% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -28.16%E -16.47%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-02 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV +26.99%E +12.32%K +22.68%G +6.12% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -27.74%E -16.13%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 20:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +24.67%E +11.47%K +21.45%G +5.29% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -28.16%E -16.47%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-02 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +22.93%E +10.82%K +20.47%G +4.69% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -28.58%E -16.81%K -40.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.64%E -4.13%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.67%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.22%E -4.51%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.47%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-02 20:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -10.70%E -6.95%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +7.14%E +2.80%K +4.60%G +0.328% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.02%E -8.68%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.03%E +2.01%K +3.36%G +0.169% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.02%E -8.68%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +5.03%E +2.01%K +3.36%G +0.169% | 6.7% | 2026-03-02 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -14.76%E -10.04%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV +2.93%E +1.20%K +2.02%G +0.059% | 8.8% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -14.76%E -10.04%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV +2.93%E +1.20%K +2.02%G +0.059% | 8.8% | 2026-03-02 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -15.92%E -10.98%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +15.54%E +5.65%K +8.88%G +1.38% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -15.92%E -10.98%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV +2.93%E +1.20%K +2.02%G +0.059% | 9.8% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |