Language:English
Learner Tien v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 56.53%1.77fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.976%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%56.44%56.58%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.8062.50%59.19%59.17%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)
Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV -0.022%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.56%43.42%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.172.3048.78%46.06%46.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 56.53%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit): 43.47%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +1.76%E +0.976%K +2.20%G +0.039% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 07:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 10:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.07%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.33%E -0.584%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-10 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 21:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.80%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 20:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.20%E -0.976%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.72%E -4.07%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.022%E -0.010%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 21:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-03-10 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 21:45 |