The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leandro Riedi v Rinky Hijikata

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leandro Riedi (Local)

Prediction 55.02%1.82fair odd
EV +0.679%
Edge +0.371%
Kelly +0.818%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.14%55.41%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.731.8363.69%58.46%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rinky Hijikata (Visit)

Prediction 44.98%2.22fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.540%
Kelly +0.972%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%44.86%44.59%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.2550.76%47.73%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leandro Riedi (Local): 55.02%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 44.98%. For Rinky Hijikata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -8.12%E -4.86%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +1.21%E +0.540%K +0.972%G +0.012%4.3%2026-03-02 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -13.63%E -8.68%K -23.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +1.21%E +0.540%K +0.972%G +0.012%8.1%2026-03-02 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.87%E -6.71%K -17.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.03%E -0.470%K -0.862%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.42%E -7.10%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.03%E -0.470%K -0.862%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.02%E -4.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 22:25
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -12.52%E -7.88%K -21.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 22:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 22:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.22%E -5.59%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.22%E -5.59%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-02 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV +0.679%E +0.371%K +0.818%G +0.006%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.23%E -4.04%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 22:23
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -0.421%E -0.233%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -8.23%E -4.04%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -0.421%E -0.233%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -8.23%E -4.04%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 22:10
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -1.52%E -0.850%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -8.68%E -4.28%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 22:21
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.972%E -0.540%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.03%E -5.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.07%E -1.16%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.03%E -5.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 22:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.72%E -2.13%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.03%E -5.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.82%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -11.38%E -5.78%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%3.9%2026-03-02 22:25