A Escola das Odds

Karen Khachanov v Joao Fonseca

Início: 2026-03-07 20:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Previsão 43.51%2.30odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -0.932%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%43.66%43.26%45.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.24%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 56.49%1.77odd justa
EV -0.581%
Vantagem -0.330%
Kelly -0.765%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.64%56.34%56.74%57.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.691.681.7660.61%59.33%59.52%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.10%E -0.932%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 20:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.10%E -0.932%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:39
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.10%E -0.932%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:48
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.932%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:39
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:45
SportsBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:39
Unibet (UK)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:39
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 20:45
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:38
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:44
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:39
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:39
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:39
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:40
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 20:39
Unibet (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.54%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:39
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 20:39
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:50
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.58%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 20:39
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:39
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:39
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:40
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:40
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:39
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:39
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:39
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:40
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 20:40
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:39
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:44
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 20:45
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.54%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 20:39
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:39
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:39
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.581%E -0.330%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 20:50
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.581%E -0.330%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 20:50
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:49
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:49
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:49
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:49
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 20:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:39
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -9.50%E -4.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 20:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 20:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-07 20:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-07 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-07 20:45
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-07 20:45
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-03-07 20:50
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-03-07 20:50