Language:English
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Botic van de Zandschulp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 32.22%3.10fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.698%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%32.22%32.18%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.953.1537.04%33.84%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)
Prediction 67.78%1.48fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -7.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%67.78%67.82%69.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.64%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 32.22%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 67.78%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +1.50%E +0.477%K +0.698%G +0.010% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.82%E -5.75%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.110%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -1.40%E -0.457%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.76%E -2.65%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -1.72%E -0.564%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -7.14%E -5.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.65%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.79%E -4.16%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.79%E -4.16%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 16:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -4.30%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.76%E -2.65%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 08:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.76%E -2.65%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 23:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.79%E -4.16%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.79%E -4.16%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.14%E -5.22%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.50%E -6.30%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.27%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 19:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 17:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 15:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -6.88%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.82%E -5.75%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.76%E -2.65%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.00%E -4.81%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.76%E -2.65%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.00%E -4.81%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.76%E -2.65%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.07I 32.57%NM 32.08% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.92% | 1.5% | 2026-03-05 23:25 |