Language:English
Jenson Brooksby v Frances Tiafoe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jenson Brooksby (Local)
Prediction 49.95%2.00fair odd
EV -0.092%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.75%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0054.64%52.45%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visit)
Prediction 50.05%2.00fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.25%50.00%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.881.9755.56%52.90%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 49.95%; Frances Tiafoe (Visit): 50.05%. For Jenson Brooksby (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.000, with an expected value of -0.092%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.092%E -0.046%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.92%E -5.51%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.092%E -0.046%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.92%E -5.51%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.92%E -5.51%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.09%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -1.91%E -0.974%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -1.41%E -0.715%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 23:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.59%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.92%E -5.51%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 23:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.15%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.41%E -1.24%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 23:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.58%E -4.69%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |