Language:English
Ignacio Buse v Rinky Hijikata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ignacio Buse (Local)
assuming max odds 2.00
Rinky Hijikata (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.26
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ignacio Buse (Local): 50.67%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 49.33%. For Rinky Hijikata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -16.40%E -9.94%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV +11.49%E +5.08%K +9.12%G +1.05% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 00:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -12.85%E -7.47%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +7.54%E +3.46%K +6.39%G +0.482% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.84%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.55%E +3.03%K +5.65%G +0.370% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -11.84%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +6.55%E +3.03%K +5.65%G +0.370% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -12.85%E -7.47%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +3.59%E +1.71%K +3.27%G +0.117% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.33%E -6.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.34%E -0.669%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 00:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.19%E -0.613%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.74%E -4.72%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.19%E -0.613%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.19%E -0.613%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -11.21%E -6.23%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +1.34%E +0.669%K +1.34%G +0.018% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -12.68%E -7.17%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +1.34%E +0.669%K +1.34%G +0.018% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -13.67%E -7.81%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -3.73%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -13.67%E -7.81%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -3.73%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -13.67%E -7.81%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |