A Escola das Odds

Dalibor Svrcina v Jannik Sinner

Início: 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dalibor Svrcina (Local)

Previsão 5.50%18.19odd justa
EV +86.94%
Vantagem +2.56%
Kelly +2.63%
Crescimento +2.29%

pressupondo odds máximas de 34.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
2.86%5.56%5.06%8.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0017.7616.0034.009.09%5.63%6.25%2.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jannik Sinner (Visitante)

Previsão 94.50%1.06odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -2.59%
Kelly -88.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.59%94.44%94.94%97.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.65%99.01%97.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +86.94%E +2.56%K +2.63%G +2.29%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Paddy Power26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.96%E +1.65%K +1.72%G +0.738%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 02:00
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.96%E +1.65%K +1.72%G +0.738%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 02:00
Pinnacle25.06I 3.99%NM 3.91%EV +37.79%E +1.51%K +1.57%G +0.593%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.09%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-07 02:00
DraftKings23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-07 02:00
1xBet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
Winamax (DE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
FanDuel23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
PointsBet (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.46%E +0.736%K +0.773%G +0.120%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 02:00
SportsBet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +15.46%E +0.736%K +0.773%G +0.120%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:05
Coolbet20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.97%E +0.498%K +0.525%G +0.052%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Winamax (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV +9.97%E +0.498%K +0.525%G +0.052%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.24%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Coral19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Betway19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 01:59
Neds19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Caesars19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:57
LowVig.ag18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV +3.75%E +0.199%K +0.210%G +0.008%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
BetOnline.ag18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV +3.75%E +0.199%K +0.210%G +0.008%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
William Hill17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.53%E -0.384%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.53%E -0.384%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 01:59
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.53%E -0.384%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Unibet (FR)16.80I 5.95%NM 5.67%EV -7.63%E -0.454%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.33%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Grosvenor16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
TABtouch16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
LiveScore Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (NL)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Casumo16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
LeoVegas16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Svenska Spel16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
ATG (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
betPARX16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Bally Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Hard Rock Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 01:59
Bet Right16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:00
BetRivers15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 01:53
NordicBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Betsson15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
BetMGM15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
888sport15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Everygame15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 01:59
Betr (AU)14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -21.65%E -1.52%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 02:00
NetBet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -23.02%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 02:00
PlayUp13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -28.52%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Betclic (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.52%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 01:57
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.52%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Marathon Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -34.02%E -2.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.66%E -2.59%K -88.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:59
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -39.52%E -3.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 01:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig23.26I 4.30%NM 4.24%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.76%1.4%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%1.7%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%1.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%1.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Smarkets25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%2.0%2026-03-07 02:05