L’École des cotes

Dalibor Svrcina v Jannik Sinner

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalibor Svrcina (Local)

Prévision 5.50%18.19cote équitable
EV +86.94%
Avantage +2.56%
Kelly +2.63%
Croissance +2.29%

avec la cote maximale 34.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.86%5.56%5.06%8.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0017.7616.0034.009.09%5.63%6.25%2.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)

Prévision 94.50%1.06cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -88.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
91.59%94.44%94.94%97.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.65%99.01%97.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +86.94%E +2.56%K +2.63%G +2.29%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Paddy Power26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.96%E +1.65%K +1.72%G +0.738%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 02:00
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +42.96%E +1.65%K +1.72%G +0.738%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 02:00
Pinnacle25.06I 3.99%NM 3.91%EV +37.79%E +1.51%K +1.57%G +0.593%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.09%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-07 02:00
DraftKings23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-07 02:00
1xBet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
Winamax (DE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
FanDuel23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +26.46%E +1.15%K +1.20%G +0.318%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 02:00
PointsBet (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +15.46%E +0.736%K +0.773%G +0.120%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 02:00
SportsBet21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +15.46%E +0.736%K +0.773%G +0.120%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:05
Coolbet20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +9.97%E +0.498%K +0.525%G +0.052%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Winamax (FR)20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV +9.97%E +0.498%K +0.525%G +0.052%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.24%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Coral19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Betway19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (UK)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 01:59
Neds19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Caesars19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +4.47%E +0.235%K +0.248%G +0.011%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.50%E -5.50%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:57
LowVig.ag18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV +3.75%E +0.199%K +0.210%G +0.008%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
BetOnline.ag18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV +3.75%E +0.199%K +0.210%G +0.008%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
William Hill17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -6.53%E -0.384%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.53%E -0.384%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 01:59
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -6.53%E -0.384%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Unibet (FR)16.80I 5.95%NM 5.67%EV -7.63%E -0.454%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.33%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Grosvenor16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
TABtouch16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
LiveScore Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (NL)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Casumo16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
LeoVegas16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Svenska Spel16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
ATG (SE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
betPARX16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Bally Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Hard Rock Bet16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 01:59
Bet Right16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -12.03%E -0.752%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:00
BetRivers15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 01:53
NordicBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Betsson15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
BetMGM15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
888sport15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Everygame15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -17.53%E -1.17%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 01:59
Betr (AU)14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -21.65%E -1.52%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 02:00
NetBet (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -23.02%E -1.64%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 02:00
PlayUp13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -28.52%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.61%E -3.54%K -180.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Betclic (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.52%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 01:57
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -28.52%E -2.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 02:00
Marathon Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -34.02%E -2.84%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.66%E -2.59%K -88.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:59
Bet Victor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -39.52%E -3.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.55%E -4.51%K -455.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 01:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%1.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig23.26I 4.30%NM 4.24%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.76%1.4%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%1.7%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%1.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.23%1.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Smarkets25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%2.0%2026-03-07 02:05