The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Christopher O'Connell v Nikoloz Basilashvili

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 20:24 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Christopher O'Connell (Local)

Prediction 64.68%1.55fair odd
EV +0.249%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.453%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%64.49%64.66%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5571.43%69.25%69.44%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit)

Prediction 35.32%2.83fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.601%
Kelly +0.921%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%35.51%35.34%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.652.8841.67%37.38%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 64.68%; Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit): 35.32%. For Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +1.73%E +0.601%K +0.921%G +0.016%4.7%2026-03-03 20:17
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +1.73%E +0.601%K +0.921%G +0.016%4.7%2026-03-03 20:17
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +1.02%E +0.358%K +0.551%G +0.006%3.9%2026-03-03 20:10
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.16%E -5.75%K -19.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 20:16
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 20:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.45%E -6.75%K -23.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 20:21
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.28%E -2.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 20:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -8.81%E -6.25%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.81%EV -6.75%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 20:11
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 20:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.87%E -4.77%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 20:20
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.51%E -5.25%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 20:20
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.22%E -4.29%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 20:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +0.249%E +0.161%K +0.453%G +0.001%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -15.22%E -6.34%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 20:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-03-03 20:21