La scuola delle quote

Cameron Norrie v Mackenzie McDonald

Inizio: 2026-03-08 01:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cameron Norrie (Casa)

Previsione 59.04%1.69quota equa
EV -0.226%
Vantaggio -0.134%
Kelly -0.327%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.70%58.75%59.49%63.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.42%62.11%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mackenzie McDonald (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.96%2.44quota equa
EV +8.55%
Vantaggio +3.23%
Kelly +5.18%
Crescita +0.443%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.14%41.25%40.51%44.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.292.302.6547.62%43.72%43.48%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -11.44%E -7.63%K -22.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +8.55%E +3.23%K +5.18%G +0.443%4.4%2026-03-08 00:19
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.357%E +0.146%K +0.246%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-08 00:17
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.357%E +0.146%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.9%2026-03-08 00:24
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.872%E -0.360%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 23:25
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 23:24
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.13%E -3.86%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:33
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:24
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.67%E -6.32%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:33
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.26%E -6.75%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -2.10%E -0.879%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 00:18
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.13%E -3.86%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.51%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:19
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -2.92%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 00:23
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.33%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.33%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 23:24
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:35
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:25
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:19
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:24
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:00
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:30
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.67%E -6.32%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 00:34
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:24
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -10.26%E -6.75%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -0.226%E -0.134%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:34
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 00:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:34
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 00:29
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:34
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-03-08 00:35
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%6.7%2026-03-08 00:35