L’École des cotes

Cameron Norrie v Mackenzie McDonald

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 01:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prévision 59.04%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.226%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.327%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%58.75%59.49%63.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.611.6966.67%62.42%62.11%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mackenzie McDonald (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.96%2.44cote équitable
EV +8.55%
Avantage +3.23%
Kelly +5.18%
Croissance +0.443%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%41.25%40.51%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.6547.62%43.72%43.48%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -11.44%E -7.63%K -22.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +8.55%E +3.23%K +5.18%G +0.443%4.4%2026-03-08 00:19
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.357%E +0.146%K +0.246%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-08 00:17
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.90%E -5.06%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +0.357%E +0.146%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.9%2026-03-08 00:24
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.872%E -0.360%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 00:24
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 23:25
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 23:24
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.13%E -3.86%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:33
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:19
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:24
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.67%E -6.32%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:33
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.26%E -6.75%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.69%E -0.705%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -2.10%E -0.879%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 00:18
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.13%E -3.86%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.51%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:19
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -2.92%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 00:23
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.33%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.33%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 23:24
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:35
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:25
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 00:19
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.97%E -2.14%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:24
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:00
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:35
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:30
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.67%E -6.32%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 00:34
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.72%E -4.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:24
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -10.26%E -6.75%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.00%E -1.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.31%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.65%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -0.226%E -0.134%K -0.327%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 00:34
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 00:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:34
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:34
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 00:29
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:34
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:34
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -3.18%E -1.94%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 00:34
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:34
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.41%E -0.842%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-03-08 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-03-08 00:34
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-08 00:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-03-08 00:35
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%6.7%2026-03-08 00:35