The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Benjamin Bonzi v Jack Pinnington Jones

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 18:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Prediction 50.32%1.99fair odd
EV +4.16%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +3.89%
Growth +0.162%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%49.87%50.66%52.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.872.0757.14%52.84%53.48%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit)

Prediction 49.68%2.01fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.95%50.13%49.34%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.871.9557.14%53.49%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 50.32%; Jack Pinnington Jones (Visit): 49.68%. For Benjamin Bonzi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +4.16%E +2.01%K +3.89%G +0.162%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -11.07%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +4.16%E +2.01%K +3.89%G +0.162%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -11.07%E -6.19%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 18:12
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +3.16%E +1.54%K +3.01%G +0.095%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -13.06%E -7.46%K -17.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 18:09
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV +2.65%E +1.30%K +2.55%G +0.068%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-02 18:10
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.642%E +0.321%K +0.642%G +0.004%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.58%E -5.88%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 17:59
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.37%E -0.700%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.09%E -4.37%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -3.38%E -1.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -12.07%E -6.82%K -15.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 18:03
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.90%E -3.16%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.16%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 18:14
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.91%E -3.73%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 18:14
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 18:14
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-02 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-02 18:15
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -10.93%E -6.18%K -14.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-02 18:14
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -11.94%E -6.82%K -15.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-02 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -11.94%E -6.82%K -15.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-02 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-02 18:15