The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Aleksandar Vukic v Stefano Travaglia

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 57.22%1.75fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.97%57.46%58.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.651.7363.69%60.11%60.61%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stefano Travaglia (Visit)

Prediction 42.78%2.34fair odd
EV -0.324%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.244%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.46%43.03%42.54%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.3350.00%46.12%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 57.22%; Stefano Travaglia (Visit): 42.78%. For Stefano Travaglia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -0.324%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -1.01%E -0.583%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -1.01%E -0.583%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.15%E -1.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-02 19:30
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 19:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.72%E -1.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-02 19:59
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 19:44
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.87%E -2.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 19:52
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.324%E -0.139%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-02 19:57
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.324%E -0.139%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-02 19:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.16%E -3.75%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-02 19:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.73%E -4.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 20:04
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.73%E -4.13%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.75%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.30%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 20:04
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.45%E -5.28%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-02 20:04
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.89%E -2.68%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-02 20:05