Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Terence Atmane v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 12:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prediction 34.17%2.93fair odd
EV +0.111%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.24%34.15%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.762.9338.46%36.14%36.23%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)

Prediction 65.83%1.52fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%65.76%65.85%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4872.46%69.93%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 34.17%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 65.83%. For Terence Atmane (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.927. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.930, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.111%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV +0.111%E +0.038%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-18 12:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.915%E -0.315%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 12:12
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:14
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:14
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.62%E -0.920%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 12:15
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 12:13
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:14
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:13
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 12:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -9.15%E -6.63%K -24.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 12:15
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:09
DraftKings🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:14
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 12:09
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 12:14
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 12:15
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 12:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.18%E -5.09%K -17.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 12:15
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 12:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 12:15
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 12:15
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 12:15
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.83%E -5.60%K -19.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 12:15
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.49%E -6.11%K -21.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 12:15
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -8.43%E -3.15%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 12:15
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 12:08
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:15
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 12:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 12:15
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 12:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-18 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-18 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-18 12:15
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-18 12:15
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.5%2026-05-18 12:15
Novig2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.7%2026-05-18 12:15