L’École des cotes

Miomir Kecmanovic v Karen Khachanov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)

Prévision 43.22%2.31cote équitable
EV +18.86%
Avantage +6.86%
Kelly +10.78%
Croissance +2.03%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.21%42.71%43.43%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.352.252.7548.78%42.58%44.44%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.78%1.76cote équitable
EV -0.638%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.851%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%57.29%56.57%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.591.631.7570.92%62.74%61.35%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -17.67%E -12.19%K -39.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 06:10
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -17.67%E -12.19%K -39.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -18.24%E -12.67%K -41.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 06:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -18.81%E -13.15%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 06:10
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +18.86%E +6.86%K +10.78%G +2.03%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -18.81%E -13.15%K -43.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 06:10
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV +16.70%E +6.18%K +9.82%G +1.64%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -19.94%E -14.14%K -48.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 06:10
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV +2.00%E +0.849%K +1.47%G +0.030%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 18:06
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 18:45
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 18:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 17:50
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.59%E -5.33%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.59%E -5.33%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -8.59%E -5.33%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 17:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.590%E -0.257%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 20:15
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.45%E -0.638%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.88%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 17:45
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.48%E -2.05%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 18:25
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 23:26
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 17:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.45%E -4.57%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 17:45
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 17:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 20:09
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 17:45
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.18%E -1.42%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 15:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:03
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 10:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.88%E -4.20%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 15:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 15:10
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.64%E -3.07%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 21:10
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.61%E -2.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 06:06
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.61%E -2.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 06:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 12:44
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 18:25
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:45
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.45%E -4.57%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 21:15
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.51%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.638%E -0.365%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 15:25
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -7.51%E -3.51%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -0.638%E -0.365%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 15:25
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -7.94%E -3.73%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 06:05
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -7.94%E -3.73%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 06:05
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.80%E -4.17%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 10:05
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 05:10
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 06:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 12:45
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -10.10%E -4.86%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 06:10
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.40%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.21%E -0.693%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 15:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-18 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%2.5%2026-05-18 16:36
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%3.1%2026-05-18 16:15
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%6.8%2026-05-18 17:55